538 Presidential Prediction 2024. Even as joe biden’s presidential candidacy teetered and polls showed him clearly losing to donald trump, the election forecasting site 538 was still estimating that. Allan lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, predicts kamala harris will.

Allan lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, predicts kamala harris will. This isn’t a popularity contest™.